Leyonhjelm will be around for another 4.5 years

The behaviour of this man serves to highlight the absurdity of electing senators for two terms.

Crossbench senator David Leyonhjelm says he can’t recall whether he once referred to former prime minister Julia Gillard as a “mangy dog” but says he “doesn’t give a f—” about it either way.

David Leyonhjelm's selection surprised everybody
David Leyonhjelm’s selection surprised everybody

Reportedly elected because voters thought he was a member of the Liberal party and benefitting from the donkey vote on the ballot paper, he is an “accidental” candidate  amongst a group of  staggeringly unrepresentative  cross-bench senators.

But the election will roll round as sure as night follows day and he won’t be re-elected because people will not make the same mistake again.

There are a number of other people who will not be re-elected to the Senate. Most of them, suffering delusions of grandeur, have parted company with the parties that supported them during the election. Those parties won’t that make mistake again.

So we will probably be saying goodbye to Glenn Lazarus unless there is a very strong rugby league voting bloc in Queensland. He certainly has very good brand recognition as result of his status as rugby league legend and this may get him across the line.But Clive Palmer may make the switch to the Senate in Queensland, given that his chances of being re-elected in the lower house for Fairfax are probably close to zero. Palmer is likely to soak up quite a few of the votes available for the minor parties or independents like Lazarus.

John Madigan left the DLP once elected to the Senate. Those with long memories will know that the DLP is not a forgiving lot.

 Ex-DLP Senator John Madigan won't be elected without DLP support
Ex-DLP Senator John Madigan won’t be elected without DLP support

Bob Day has had the good sense to remain with Family First. They generally seem to be able to scrape together a quota one way or another so he’s got a good chance of being re-elected.

 Family First's Bob Day could be up for a second term
Family First’s Bob Day could be up for a second term

He certainly seems to be an improvement over the last bloke.

Not a great communicator, Steve Fielding was certainly good directing traffic
Not a great communicator, Steve Fielding was certainly good directing traffic

If Dio Wang  gets PUP endorsement (assuming that PUP is still around), he certainly good chance for re-election in WA.

Dio Wang Isn't likely to speak out of turn
Dio Wang Isn’t likely to speak out of turn

And then there’s Ricky Muir, famous for all manner of things but not necessarily his performance in the Senate where he has been (strangely) silent.

Ricky Muir surprised even himself when he was  elected
Ricky Muir surprised even himself when he was elected

The Motoring Enthusiast Party was probably as surprised as Ricky Muir at his election. But there are strong indications that other members of the party think they are more entitled to a seat in the Senate than Ricky and it’s unlikely that he will get preselection.

And then there’s everybody’s darling:  Jacqui Lambie. Her problem is that she is suffering from delusions of grandeur and is now starting her own political party the Jaqui Lambie Network.

Jacqui Lambie probably expects people to come flocking  to join her political party.
Jacqui Lambie probably expects people to come flocking to join her political party.

She is probably about to find out is that in political terms Clive Palmer is richer than she is popular and you can expect Palmer to mount a very strong campaign for a candidate to oppose her in Tasmania.

She may also find, that should any of her candidates be elected, they may turn out to be ungrateful bastards who very quickly set out to establish their own political parties.

What goes around comes around.

And finally, there is Nick Xenophon, clearly the best political operator in the Senate who is now enjoying fame and influence which he justly deserves. The political support and the networks that he has built can not be easily or quickly replicated by people like Jacqui Lambie.

Nick Xenophon Is likely to be re-elected as long as he wishes to keep standing
Nick Xenophon Is likely to be re-elected as long as he wishes to keep standing

Xenophon is probably one of the smartest political operators in the current Parliament.

We can also expect a much wider range of crackpots standing for the Senate given the success of the relatively undeserving in the last election.

We can also expect that the preference whispering will become increasingly more sophisticated and that the major parties will find ways of exerting much more influence over the process.

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