The accepted wisdom at present is that more sending troops into Syria to fight against ISIS would be counter-productive. The experience of almost every invasion since the Second World War bears out this proposition.
The French have decided to increase the bombing of ISIS positions but this has the effect of increasing civilian casualties as ISIS is well entrenched amongst the civilian population. In fact, the RAAF will often not bomb positions where there is a likelihood of civilian casualties.
Any increased military intervention is inevitably going to cause increased civilian casualties.
The total number of civilian casualties is staggering.
This chart shows range of estimates from human rights organisations for the time period 2011-2015.
|Syrian Network for Human Rights||215,454|
|Center for Documentation of Violations||143,153|
|Syrian Observatory for Human Rights||395,000|
It would seem obvious that one way to stop the civilian deaths is to stop the fighting rather than to increase it by sending in more troops or more aeroplanes.
One highly effective way of limiting ISIS military capability would be to cut off the flow of funds that enables them to purchase arms.
A good proportion of the funding of the ISIS’ military capability comes from the sale of oil and the French have begun to step up their raids against oil installations.
But why wasn’t this done earlier? It seems like such an obvious way of limiting ISIS.
Could it be that there are some vested interests in the supply of oil from this region?
Another tactic could be to limit the supply of arms to ISIS. It beggars belief that the Western allies do not know who is supplying arms to ISIS. It also beggars belief that they do not know who is manufacturing those arms.
Surely the Western allies can bring pressure to bear on both parties, suppliers and manufacturers, to severely limit the military ability of ISIS.
this is where the hard work of finding a peaceful solution to the crisis in the Middle East will begin.
There needs to be an honest and open confrontation with the vested interests, arms manufacturers and the purchases of cheap oil, to ensure that we move away from this humanitarian disaster.